Excited About Buying A Home This Year Heres What To Watch

Dated: January 2 2019

Views: 95

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here’s What to Watch

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here’s What to Watch



As we kick off the new year, many families have made resolutions to enter the housing market in 2019. Whether you are thinking of finally ditching your landlord and buying your first home or selling your starter house to move into your forever home, there are two pieces of the real estate puzzle you need to watch carefully: interest rates & inventory.

Interest Rates

Mortgage interest rates had been on the rise for much of 2018, but they made a welcome reversal at the end of the year. According to Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey, rates climbed to 4.94% in November before falling to 4.62% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage last week. Despite the recent drop, interest rates are projected to reach 5% in 2019.

The interest rate you secure when buying a home not only greatly impacts your monthly housing costs, but also impacts your purchasing power.

Purchasing power, simply put, is the amount of home you can afford to buy for the budget you have available to spend. As rates increase, the price of the house you can afford to buy will decrease if you plan to stay within a certain monthly housing budget.

The chart below shows the impact that rising interest rates would have if you planned to purchase a $400,000 home while keeping your principal and interest payments between $2,020-$2,050 a month.

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here's What to Watch | Keeping Current Matters

With each quarter of a percent increase in interest rate, the value of the home you can afford decreases by 2.5% (in this example, $10,000).

Inventory

A ‘normal’ real estate market requires there to be a 6-month supply of homes for sale in order for prices to increase only with inflation. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), listing inventory is currently at a 3.9-month supply (still well below the 6-months needed), which has put upward pressure on home prices. Home prices have increased year-over-year for the last 81 straight months.

The inventory of homes for sale in the real estate market had been on a steady decline and experienced year-over-year drops for 36 straight months (from July 2015 to May 2018), but we are starting to see a shift in inventory over the last six months.

The chart below shows the change in housing supply over the last 12 months compared to the previous 12 months. As you can see, since June, inventory levels have started to increase as compared to the same time last year.

Excited About Buying A Home This Year? Here's What to Watch | Keeping Current Matters

This is a trend to watch as we move further into the new year. If we continue to see an increase in homes for sale, we could start moving further away from a seller’s market and closer to a normal market.

Bottom Line

If you are planning to enter the housing market, either as a buyer or a seller, make sure that you have an experienced local agent who can help you navigate the changes in mortgage interest rates and inventory.

Blog author image

Bevia Patrick

Since its inception in 1995, Patrick Team Properties has exemplified a profound commitment to its clients by providing the highest standard of service, integrity and work ethic in the field. Patri....

Latest Blog Posts

Why The 2021 Forecast Doesnt Call For A Foreclosure Crisis

Why the 2021 Forecast Doesn’t Call for a Foreclosure CrisisAs the current forbearance mortgage relief options come to an end, many are wondering if we’ll face a foreclosure crisis next

Read More

Gutter Cleaning Tips And Tricks

Gutter Cleaning Tips And Tricks Oct 29, 2020Bevia PatrickThere are some chores around the house that make you feel like you’ve really done something, giving you a sense of massive

Read More

How Down Payment Assistance Opens The Door To Homeownership

How Down Payment Assistance Opens the Door to Homeownership Many people are eager to buy a home right now while affordability continues to be a highlight of the current housing.

Read More

Why Pricing Your House Right Is Essential

Why Pricing Your House Right Is Essential In today’s real estate market, setting the right price for your house is one of the most valuable things you can do.According to the U.S.

Read More